Kevin Mullin vs. Charles Hoelter polls and 2026 forecast (California's 15th District)
Our forecast gives Kevin Mullin (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Mullin +55.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Mullin +48.3 and Mullin +62.6. Incumbent: Kevin Mullin (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+49.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works