Bernadette Greene-Placentia vs. Abraham Hamadeh polls and 2026 forecast (Arizona's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Abraham Hamadeh (R) a 96% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hamadeh +11.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Hamadeh +18.4 and Hamadeh +3.6. Incumbent: Abraham Hamadeh (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+16.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works