Adelita Grijalva vs. Daniel Butierez polls and 2026 forecast (Arizona's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Adelita Grijalva (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Grijalva +32.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Grijalva +25.6 and Grijalva +40.1. Incumbent: Adelita Grijalva (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+22.4.
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