Elizabeth Lee vs. Mark Lamb polls and 2026 forecast (Arizona's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Mark Lamb (R) a 97% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Lamb +12.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Lamb +21.1 and Lamb +4.5. Incumbent: Andy Biggs. 2024 presidential result here: R+20.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works