James Russell vs. Bruce Westerman polls and 2026 forecast (Arkansas's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Bruce Westerman (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Westerman +36.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Westerman +43.9 and Westerman +29.3. Incumbent: Bruce Westerman (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+40.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works