Terri Green vs. Rick Crawford polls and 2026 forecast (Arkansas's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Rick Crawford (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Crawford +41.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Crawford +48.5 and Crawford +33.8. Incumbent: Rick Crawford (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+46.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works