Amanda Pusczek vs. Robert Aderholt polls and 2026 forecast (Alabama's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Robert Aderholt (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Aderholt +63.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Aderholt +70.3 and Aderholt +55.8. Incumbent: Robert Aderholt (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+66.9.
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