Shomari Figures vs. Rhett Marques polls and 2026 forecast (Alabama's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Rhett Marques (R) a 69% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Marques +2.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Marques +8.2 and Figures +3.7. Polling average: Marques +3.7 across 3 polls. Incumbent: Shomari Figures (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+14.5.
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