Clyde Jones Jr. vs. Jerry Carl polls and 2026 forecast (Alabama's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Jerry Carl (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Carl +28.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Carl +36.6 and Carl +20.1. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: R+36.3.
House forecast · How the forecast works