Kenneth Casner vs. Eric Barlow polls and 2026 forecast (Wyoming governor)
Our forecast gives Eric Barlow (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Barlow +39.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Barlow +49.3 and Barlow +29.7. Incumbent: Mark Gordon (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+47.0.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works