David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany polls and 2026 forecast (Wisconsin governor)
Our forecast gives David Crowley (D) a 74% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Crowley +3.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Tiffany +3.1 and Crowley +9.2. Polling average: Crowley +1.9 across 8 polls. Incumbent: Tony Evers (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+0.9.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works