Helena Foulkes vs. Aaron Guckian polls and 2026 forecast (Rhode Island governor)
Our forecast gives Helena Foulkes (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Foulkes +23.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Foulkes +15.4 and Foulkes +31.1. Polling average: Foulkes +24.2 across 4 polls. Incumbent: Dan McKee (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+14.2.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works