Cindy Holscher vs. Ty Masterson polls and 2026 forecast (Kansas governor)
Our forecast gives Ty Masterson (R) an 86% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Masterson +5.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Masterson +11.1 and Holscher +1.0. Polling average: Masterson +3.9 across 7 polls. Incumbent: Laura Kelly (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+16.4.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works