Terri Pickens vs. Brad Little polls and 2026 forecast (Idaho governor)
Our forecast gives Brad Little (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Little +27.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Little +37.4 and Little +17.2. Polling average: Little +11.5 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Brad Little (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+37.5.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works