Josh Green vs. Gary Cordery polls and 2026 forecast (Hawaii governor)
Our forecast gives Josh Green (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Green +42.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Green +28.3 and Green +57.3. Incumbent: Josh Green (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+23.6.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works