Keisha Lance Bottoms vs. Rick Jackson polls and 2026 forecast (Georgia governor)
Our forecast gives Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) a 61% chance of winning (rating: Lean D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bottoms +1.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Jackson +4.4 and Bottoms +6.8. Polling average: Jackson +1.6 across 13 polls. Incumbent: Brian Kemp (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+2.2.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works