Ned Lamont vs. Ryan Fazio polls and 2026 forecast (Connecticut governor)
Our forecast gives Ned Lamont (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Lamont +18.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Lamont +12.1 and Lamont +24.9. Polling average: Lamont +16.3 across 9 polls. Incumbent: Ned Lamont (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+14.8.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works