Doug Jones vs. Tommy Tuberville polls and 2026 forecast (Alabama governor)
Our forecast gives Tommy Tuberville (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Tuberville +17.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Tuberville +25.7 and Tuberville +9.6. Polling average: Tuberville +10.6 across 3 polls. Incumbent: Kay Ivey (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+30.9.
Governor forecasts · How the forecast works